The turmoil in North Africa has hit growth across the continent but may be prompting important indirect political changes, the chief economist of the African Development Bank said on Monday.
In a speech, Mthuli Ncube said the unrest in Egypt, Libya and Tunisia will probably reduce economic growth in North Africa this year to 0.7% from 4.7% last year. Overall, Africa’s growth is estimated at 3.7% in 2011, down from 4.9% last year.
Further south, Ncube said economies have been affected by a drop in money sent home by Africans from elsewhere on the continent who had been working in North Africa. Niger, for example, had 200 000 citizens working in oil-rich Libya, according to bank statistics.
Sub-Saharan African countries with high unemployment should also be wary, Ncube said. He noted in an interview with the Associated Press after his speech on Monday that former South African president Thabo Mbeki — which is struggling to cut unemployment, particularly among the young — was ousted in 2008 by his own African National Congress in campaign led by the party’s youth wing. Read more…


