South Africa’s targeted consumer inflation quickened to its highest level in 15 months in June, data showed on Wednesday, but this was in line with market expectations and not likely to persuade the Reserve Bank against leaving interest rates unchanged.
CPI quickened to 5% year-on-year in June — bang in line with forecasts– from 4.6% in May, and slowed as expected to 0.4% month-on-month from 0.5%, Statistics South Africa data showed.
Government bonds extended their gains, but traders said this was more in response to the firmer rand on the day, as investor aversion to risk assets abates a little.
The yield on the 2015 bond fell to 7.46%, down 4.5 basis points on the day, from 7.506% prior to the CPI date.
Food inflation remained the main driver of the increase in overall CPI, rising to 7.1% year-on-year from 6.1% in May.
Analysts said the Reserve Bank would most likely still hold its repo rate steady at 5.5% when it concludes a three day policy meeting on Thursday.
“We still expect the MPC to maintain its wait-and-see policy until there is greater evidence of ‘more generalized inflation’, either due to second-round effects from higher commodity prices or price pressures emanating from firmer domestic demand,” Nedbank said.
“Latest statistics on local and international growth have not been encouraging and we would therefore still expect the Reserve Bank … Read more…
